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New Year Entertainment: Predictions, Forecasts, and Projections

The Practical Leader

Experts forecasted in 2000 that 30 gigawatts of electricity would be generated worldwide through wind power by 2010. It was 200 gigawatts and reached 370 by 2015. Predictions often tell us more about the predictor’s explanatory style and values than the future. There were 109 million sold by then and over 17 billion sold to date.

Project 67
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The Planning Fallacy and the Innovator's Dilemma

Harvard Business Review

"You have to deliver $300 million in incremental growth by 2015," the business unit head told the leader of his innovation team. That's less than 5 percent of our revenues, so that should be quite doable.". But the basic pattern continues.

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Use Your Customers as Ethnographers

Harvard Business Review

At C Space, we’ve conducted more than 800 mobile journaling and ethnography projects on behalf of over 240 clients since 2010, and have seen the power of bringing consumer experience to life for our clients. Product and package designers can see how people open, store, and use their purchases “in the wild.”