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Living in a Radical State of Uncertainty

Harvard Business Review

Nowhere is this best expressed than in a IBM global CEO survey in 2010, Capitalizing on Complexity , which noted "events, threats and opportunities aren't just coming at us faster or with less predictability; they are converging and influencing each other to create entirely new situations.

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China’s Slowdown: The First Stage of the Bullwhip Effect

Harvard Business Review

Since 2000, the Chinese economy has been growing at an increasing rate — from 6% per year in 2000 to 12% per year in 2010. A survey of 125 Dutch companies found that those in Tier 1 and Tier 2 relative to the end-consumers saw a 25% drop in revenues, while those in Tiers 3 and 4 experienced a 39% to 43% drop. For example , U.S.