Why Rational People Can’t Succeed as Economic Forecasters
Harvard Business Review
FEBRUARY 21, 2014
That sounds a lot like Philip Tetlock’s hedgehogs and foxes , where the people who keep hammering at it and don’t care if their forecasts are wrong are more likely to be wrong. Bullock and Warren Persons of the Harvard Economic Service, who are almost completely forgotten now but briefly wielded global influence.
Let's personalize your content