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New Year Entertainment: Predictions, Forecasts, and Projections

The Practical Leader

This time of year, we’re bombarded with glib and confident “experts” forecasting everything from the economy, to global warming, to financial markets, social trends, weather, and lots more. Predictions often tell us more about the predictor’s explanatory style and values than the future.

Project 67
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The Comcast-Time Warner Merger Is Not a Sign of Strength

Harvard Business Review

The announcement late last week of Comcast’s $45 billion merger with Time Warner Cable set off a predictable frenzy of hyperventilating by much of the technology media and self-appointed consumer advocacy groups. Cable is just a technology, increasingly one of many, for transmitting information, whether video, voice or data.

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Disrupt Yourself

Harvard Business Review

We all want to start a disruptive company or invest in disruptive ventures, but in reality an innovation that takes place at the low-end of the market or where there is no market (yet) is just not that sexy. Because disruptive innovations are in search of a yet-to-be-defined market, we can't know the opportunity at the outset.

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The Dell Deal Explained: What a Successful Turnaround Looks Like

Harvard Business Review

And last year, he decided that the answer was to take the company private, to escape the hectoring of the public market. Dell''s fortunes have not reversed over the past six years, owing in part to the recession, but more fundamentally to the decline of the PC market. For more background on the potential deal, click here.)

Rivkin 15
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What Alan Greenspan Has Learned Since 2008

Harvard Business Review

Not long after Alan Greenspan stepped down as Federal Reserve chairman in 2006, global financial markets began to unravel. Greenspan was never a hardline believer in the rationality of financial markets. It’s true of all commodity markets. Almost everybody is bullish, expects the market to go up, and is fully committed.

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What Small Businesses Stand to Lose in a Net Neutrality Rollback

Harvard Business Review

Deep in the golden corn fields of Iowa, technology is transforming life on the farm. But FarmLogs is not your typical technology start-up, and its founders, Jesse Vollmar and Brad Koch, are not your typical Silicon Valley-style entrepreneurs. In 2005, for instance, the agency issued its first net neutrality policy statement.