The Horizons Tracker

SEPTEMBER 4, 2023

Goldman Sachs predicted 300 million jobs would be lost, while the likes of Steve Wozniak and Elon Musk asked for AI development to be paused (although pointedly not the development of autonomous driving). It is difficult to underestimate the importance of self-efficacy in personal development.

Productivity 93

Productivity Products Altman Osborne 93

The Horizons Tracker

JANUARY 5, 2020

The paper takes particular aim at the famous Frey & Osborne paper that has spawned so many of the dire predictions, both in terms of the methodology used when making the predictions, and the evidence to date in the six years since the research was published. Exaggerated expectations.

Osborne 52

Osborne Short-term Document Technology 52

The Horizons Tracker

MAY 8, 2023

Exposure to risk The researchers developed an approach to gauge the exposure of workers to new technology. This seems to be the case today, with the infamous analysis from Frey and Osborne also suggesting that professions like nurses would be little impacted by the wave of automation that was set to wash over us.

Technology 101

Technology Osborne Skills Learning-by-Doing 101

The Horizons Tracker

NOVEMBER 16, 2020

Ever since Oxford’s Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne published their paper on the potential for jobs to be automated in 2013, a groundswell of concern has emerged about the impact of the various technologies of the 4th industrial revolution might have on the jobs market.

Osborne 82

Osborne Report Marketing Technology 82

The Horizons Tracker

AUGUST 1, 2019

Oxford University researchers Carl Benedikt Frey shot to public attention in 2013 when he and colleague Michael Osborne released research in which they predicted that 47% of jobs could be automated within the next decade or so.

Technology 64

Technology Short-term Osborne Long-term 64

The Horizons Tracker

JULY 28, 2019

Back in 2013, Oxford researchers Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne predicted that 47% of jobs would be automated within a decade. Indeed, even if people were only working less than 8 hours per week, they were 30% less likely to develop mental health issues.

Osborne 67

Osborne Long-term Proposal Technology 67

The Horizons Tracker

MAY 8, 2019

Whilst the likes of the Frey and Osborne paper predicted a pretty widespread demolition of 47% of all jobs, the reality is that those with low-skilled, routine jobs are far more at risk. What’s more, there is little sign that those skills are going to be developed.

Technology 69

Technology Osborne Education Skills 69