The Horizons Tracker

SEPTEMBER 4, 2023

Goldman Sachs predicted 300 million jobs would be lost, while the likes of Steve Wozniak and Elon Musk asked for AI development to be paused (although pointedly not the development of autonomous driving). It is difficult to underestimate the importance of self-efficacy in personal development.

Productivity 109

Productivity Products Altman Osborne 109

The Horizons Tracker

MAY 8, 2023

Exposure to risk The researchers developed an approach to gauge the exposure of workers to new technology. Interestingly, this process meant that those workers with the highest salaries saw the biggest slowdown in their income, despite having the most advanced skills. When those skills were automated, the impact was severe.

Technology 120

Technology Osborne Skills Learning-by-Doing 120

The Horizons Tracker

NOVEMBER 16, 2020

Ever since Oxford’s Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne published their paper on the potential for jobs to be automated in 2013, a groundswell of concern has emerged about the impact of the various technologies of the 4th industrial revolution might have on the jobs market.

Osborne 115

Osborne Report Marketing Transportation 115

The Horizons Tracker

MAY 8, 2019

Whilst the likes of the Frey and Osborne paper predicted a pretty widespread demolition of 47% of all jobs, the reality is that those with low-skilled, routine jobs are far more at risk. The thing is, those with low skills have been on the receiving end of pretty much every shift in the labor market over the past decade.

Technology 85

Technology Osborne Education Skills 85

The Horizons Tracker

AUGUST 1, 2019

Oxford University researchers Carl Benedikt Frey shot to public attention in 2013 when he and colleague Michael Osborne released research in which they predicted that 47% of jobs could be automated within the next decade or so.

Technology 71

Technology Short-term Osborne Long-term 71