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How to Minimize Your Biases When Making Decisions

Harvard Business Review

Every day, senior managers are tasked with making very significant strategic decisions for their companies, which usually require support by teams of internal and external experts and a heavy dose of research. Develop systemic review processes that leave you a committed "out" possibility when trying to "cut the losses".

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Instinct Can Beat Analytical Thinking

Harvard Business Review

This popular triumph of the “ heuristics and biases ” literature pioneered by psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky has made us aware of flaws that economics long glossed over, and led to interesting innovations in retirement planning and government policy. What’s the problem with the way that turkey approached risk management?

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A Case for Group Risk-Taking

Harvard Business Review

There isn’t anyone successful at managing a mutual or hedge fund who avoids risk; we just need to face it carefully. Traditionally the industry encourages a solo approach to evaluating risk; at Fidelity Investments, where I worked for over two decades, each fund is assigned to one person who makes all the buying and selling decisions.

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The Hidden Danger of Being Risk-Averse

Harvard Business Review

As Nobel Prize-winning psychologist Daniel Kahneman has written, "For most people, the fear of losing $100 is more intense than the hope of gaining $150. While the phenomenon of loss aversion has been well-documented, it''s worth noting that Kahneman himself refers to "most people" — not all — when describing its prevalence.

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How Could I Miss That? Jamie Dimon on the Hot Seat

Harvard Business Review

At a meeting on April 8, Drew assured Dimon and the operating committee of JPMorgan that the trades were being well managed and would work out. Many NASA and Morton Thiokol managers failed to notice the obvious data suggesting it was too cold to launch the Space Shuttle Challenger in 1986. MORE ON MANAGING RISKY BEHAVIORS.