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New Year Entertainment: Predictions, Forecasts, and Projections

The Practical Leader

Experts forecasted in 2000 that 30 gigawatts of electricity would be generated worldwide through wind power by 2010. It was 200 gigawatts and reached 370 by 2015. We see how Peter Drucker’s thought leadership continues to guide leaders and organizations. There were 109 million sold by then and over 17 billion sold to date.

Project 67
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The Planning Fallacy and the Innovator's Dilemma

Harvard Business Review

"You have to deliver $300 million in incremental growth by 2015," the business unit head told the leader of his innovation team. That's less than 5 percent of our revenues, so that should be quite doable.". But the basic pattern continues.