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Living in a Radical State of Uncertainty

Harvard Business Review

Nowhere is this best expressed than in a IBM global CEO survey in 2010, Capitalizing on Complexity , which noted "events, threats and opportunities aren't just coming at us faster or with less predictability; they are converging and influencing each other to create entirely new situations.

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The Olympics as a Story of Risk Management

Harvard Business Review

In the run-up to the London 2012 Olympics, for example, the global financial crisis caused private developers for the Olympic Village project to withdraw, requiring a refinancing package backed by government. Ensuring readiness for Games-time (in Olympic-speak) now involves strategic pre-emption through stress-testing and scenario planning.

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China’s Slowdown: The First Stage of the Bullwhip Effect

Harvard Business Review

Since 2000, the Chinese economy has been growing at an increasing rate — from 6% per year in 2000 to 12% per year in 2010. This is exactly what happened during 2010 and 2011 as the global economy was bouncing back.)

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Get Ready for the New Era of Global Manufacturing

Harvard Business Review

First we see major shifts in demand: developing economies such as China and India are morphing from the world's source of low-cost manufacturing capacity to the world's best market opportunities. They will not, it must be noted, alter how the role of manufacturing evolves as economies develop.