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When Human Judgment Works Well, and When it Doesn’t

Harvard Business Review

A number of people noted that Nobel prize-winner Daniel Kahneman’s work, nicely summarized in his 2011 book Thinking Fast and Slow , influenced their thinking a great deal. .” This is true, and what’s amazing is that these are exactly the conditions under which algorithms do better than people. Why is this?

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Can Being Overconfident Make You a Better Leader?

Harvard Business Review

When Apple CEO Steve Jobs approached AT&T about partnering on a new kind of mobile phone — a touchscreen computer that would fit in your pocket — Apple had no expertise in the mobile market. Daniel Kahneman, the 2002 Nobel prize laureate and psychologist, has said that if he had a magic wand, he’d eliminate it.

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How Could I Miss That? Jamie Dimon on the Hot Seat

Harvard Business Review

In 2011, the company dropped its requirement to exit investment positions when losses exceeded $20 million. As the second week of May began, Dimon realized, "The last thing I told the market — that it was a tempest in a teapot — was dead wrong," the Journal reports. As it turns out, this type of failure is quite common.

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How to Know If a Spin-Off Will Succeed

Harvard Business Review

The first category is exogenous factors over which the business has little control: the growth of the markets into which it sells; the competitive intensity and thus the average profitability of the industry in which it operates; or the fragmentation of its industry and thus the scope for a growth-by-acquisition approach.