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CIOs: Scenario Planning Can Save Your Job

Harvard Business Review

It''s the rare CIO who applies scenario planning to the business of IT. Yet, in a function driven by innovation and the uncertainties surrounding the application and implication of future technologies, not using scenarios is tantamount to management malpractice. But there is a problem: there is no data about the future.

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China’s Slowdown: The First Stage of the Bullwhip Effect

Harvard Business Review

This phenomenon has been documented in the consumer-packaged-goods , food , semiconductor-manufacturing , and other industries. It reached a peak on June 12 and then proceeded to lose over 40% of its value by the end of August despite efforts by the Chinese government to prop up the market.