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How to Minimize Your Biases When Making Decisions

Harvard Business Review

First-hand experience and best sellers like Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow have confirmed an even broader range of behavioral vulnerabilities and vagaries in our abilities to make decisions as human beings. Theoretically, knowledge-based decision making underpins every successful organization.

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Life is Luck — Here’s How to Plan a Career Around It

Harvard Business Review

Daniel Kahneman has claimed the following as his favorite equation: Success = talent + luck. Kahneman’s implication is that the difference between moderate and great success is mostly luck, not skill. Career planning Risk management Skill vs. luck' Great success = a little more talent + a lot of luck.

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A Case for Group Risk-Taking

Harvard Business Review

As a fund manager, I was very aware that the pain of losing money was markedly worse than the satisfaction of gaining an equal amount. I didn’t realize that noted academics Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman were studying this exact phenomenon, which they officially named “ loss aversion.”. What are the potential downsides?

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Instinct Can Beat Analytical Thinking

Harvard Business Review

This popular triumph of the “ heuristics and biases ” literature pioneered by psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky has made us aware of flaws that economics long glossed over, and led to interesting innovations in retirement planning and government policy. What’s the problem with the way that turkey approached risk management?