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The Six-Minute Guide to Making Better High-Stakes Decisions

Harvard Business Review

When making big decisions, executives use familiar tools like discounted cash flow analysis far too often. It’s much more useful to take a different approach: to build multiple qualitative scenarios, for example, or to develop a set of comparative reference cases.

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Why You Should Crowd-Source Your Toughest Investment Decisions

Harvard Business Review

Yet the decision to green-light a project is usually based solely on “expert opinions” — in other words, executives’ intuition supplemented by standard regression analysis. Most companies – including the movie studios in Hollywood – over-rely on basic tools like discounted cash flow and net present value.

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Still Many Ways to Skin a Capital Cost

Harvard Business Review

When executives evaluate a potential investment, whether it's to build a new plant, enter a new market, or acquire a company, they weigh its cost against the future cash flows they expect will spring from it. Yeh, William S. Schulze, and Michael H. McNulty et al.

CAPM 14
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Why We Need to Update Financial Reporting for the Digital Era

Harvard Business Review

Digital companies, however, consider scientists’ and software workers’ and product development teams’ time to be the company’s most valuable resource. These criteria assume a limited supply of financial capital and that prudent allocation of financial capital determines a firm’s success.

Report 8
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Why Sit on All that Cash? Firms Uncertain on Cost of Capital

Harvard Business Review

Download this pdf for an executive summary, or login here for the full report.) Fully 79 percent of companies, including 91 percent with annual revenues greater than $1 billion, use discounted cash flow techniques. Only 17 percent believe their estimates are accurate within 25 basis points.