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Markets: Understand the Present to Forecast the Future (Part 2)

Coaching Tip

Alexandra Lienhard : So, as editor of the Financial Forecast and the Short-Term Update , what's the goal with the services you provide? Back in the 1990s, his interest started broadening and he started developing this field called socionomics. Steve Hochberg : It's interesting in how we form them. Steve : Thank you. .

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What Africa’s Leaders Have Learned About Facing Huge Challenges

Harvard Business Review

Since 2000, for example, Rwanda has racked up average annual GDP growth in excess of 8%—exceeding 12% during some quarters of the Great Recession. Liberia is also a standout—averaging over 8% GDP growth in the past five years, and over 10% in the past year in spite of the crippling influence of Ebola in the region.

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The Best-Performing Emerging Economies Emphasize Competition

Harvard Business Review

Development economists over the ages have puzzled about why some emerging economies perform much better than others over the long term. The short answer we find from our research is: No. Yes, some governments do give financial and other support to young companies, with the goal of helping them grow.

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Does Your Company Have What It Takes to Go Global?

Harvard Business Review

” Despite positive market indicators and careful planning, international-entry initiatives often fall short. Publicly reinforcing stated goals. Ask these same managers after a launch whether they met their performance objectives, and too many will answer “not quite” or “not at all.”

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The Case for Innovation in Health Care

Harvard Business Review

In the US, we achieve some of these goals for some of the people, but none of these goals for all of the people. US health care costs are currently 17% of GDP ($2.5 In developing countries, the challenges are greater and the manpower more limited to meet them.

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A CEO’s Guide to Navigating Brexit

Harvard Business Review

How can leaders develop a specific view of the industry- and firm-level implications? Here, too, the directional impact has been analyzed credibly, with estimates ranging from 3%–9% of GDP loss. ” From the map, combine various values to develop multiple scenarios. Keep talking about progress against goals.

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If Greece Embraces Uncertainty, Innovation Will Follow

Harvard Business Review

This helps to explain why Greece has one of the lowest license and patent revenues from abroad as a percentage of its GDP, as well as one of the lowest contributions from high-tech product exports to its trade balance. This suggests that in addition to short-term policy changes, Greece needs a longer-term cultural shift.