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Scenario Planning vs. Forecasting: 6 Questions to Ask to Prepare for a Post-Pandemic Future

Leading Blog

There is often confusion between scenario planning and forecasting, with the terms used interchangeably and inconsistently. Scenario planning is focused on the future and involves defining different stories behind different paths that will lead to that future.

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Crisis Management in the Digital Age: Lessons for 2024’s Unpredictable Economy

N2Growth Blog

There is friction between globalization and regional autonomy, a conflict between the desire for sustainability and the lure of rapid development, ongoing political uncertainties, and the ever-increasing impact of digital technology. Yet, the rapid pace of technological evolution also embodies potent challenges.

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Use GenAI to Improve Scenario Planning

Harvard Business Review

Generative AI can help organizations overcome inherent shortcomings in conventional processes for performing contingency scenario planning. This article explores how the technology can do that and provides an example: a simulation that the authors conducted.

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Uncharted: How to Navigate the Future

Leading Blog

Different from experiments that “reveal immediate internal features of a complex system, scenarios explore where the internal organization meets the external environment, where uncertainties lurk beyond anyone’s control.”. Scenario planning always surfaces conflict and there is always a moment when everything seems to fall apart.

How To 351
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How to Become a Master Persuasive Storyteller

Skip Prichard

In the depths of the COVID-19 lockdown, executives at Salesforce developed a long-term scenario-planning tool to help enterprise customers rediscover their decision-making confidence in a world turned upside down. How have you seen technology impact your work and presentations? It’s a better understanding of humanity.

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Paul J.H. Schoemaker: A second interview by Bob Morris

First Friday Book Synopsis

Schoemaker is a pioneer in the field of decision sciences, among the first to combine the practical ideas of decision theory, behavioral economics, scenario planning, and risk management into a set of strategic decision-making tools for managers.

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Mindfulness as a Management Technique Goes Back to at Least the 1970s

Harvard Business Review

Through his unique lens, he came to create what we know as scenario planning — a widely used strategic planning practice that now spans all sectors. An HBR contributor, he wrote two seminal articles about Shell and scenario planning in 1985. Planning well, in his estimation, required “training the mind.”