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Is Corporate Debt An Indicator Of Pending Financial Crises?

The Horizons Tracker

Each standard deviation increase in real estate-backed corporate credit relative to GDP raises the crisis probability by 3.7 A single standard deviation increase in this ratio predicts a 3.6 percentage point rise in the likelihood of a financial crisis. A single standard deviation increase in this ratio predicts a 3.6

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The Link Between Unemployment Benefits And Entrepreneurship

The Horizons Tracker

With borrowing becoming more costly, businesses might struggle to finance investments and production, leading to cost-cutting measures, including layoffs. While not alarmingly high, this is the highest rate since September 2021, during the second year of the COVID pandemic, when it reached 4.4%. Why might this be the case?

GDP 73
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Why US wage growth is slowing and what it means

HR Digest

High earners, such as those in tech or finance, continue to see steady salary increases, while low-wage workers in retail or hospitality face stagnant pay. Moreover, lower salaries could dampen consumer spending, which accounts for roughly 70% of US GDP. This divergence widens the wealth gap, a persistent challenge in the US.

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Business Model Innovation Will Be Key To Emerge From Covid Well

The Horizons Tracker

“We posit that rapid productivity growth offers the only viable option and that it can reduce the debt to GDP ratio to pre-pandemic. For instance, they argue that tax schemes could be designed to encourage firms to jointly apply for finance to encourage coordination within and across industries.

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Female Only VC Funds Don’t Necessarily Help Female Entrepreneurs

The Horizons Tracker

This represents a growth in global GDP of 6%, which to put that into context is slightly higher than the recent economic forecast from the World Bank of the hit to global GDP from COVID-19. It argued that if the rates of entrepreneurship were equal between men and women that the global economy would grow by $5 trillion.

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How HR can stand firm in a 2025 recession

HR Digest

The US economic outlook looks murky as well, with GDP growth limping towards 2%, and the inflation stubbornly at 3%, and consumer confidence witnessing a 10% drop in February. The threat of a recession in 2025, or worse, a white-collar recession is slicing through tech, finance, and professional services already.

GDP 52
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How Innovative Projects Get Funded

The Horizons Tracker

Firms with low net worth are more likely to be affected by financial frictions, as they need to borrow more to finance their investments than firms with higher net worth,” the researchers say. So, if the GDP usually grows by 2% each year, without these obstacles, it could grow by around 2.4%. faster each year.

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