Is Corporate Debt An Indicator Of Pending Financial Crises?
The Horizons Tracker
JANUARY 5, 2025
Each standard deviation increase in real estate-backed corporate credit relative to GDP raises the crisis probability by 3.7 A single standard deviation increase in this ratio predicts a 3.6 percentage point rise in the likelihood of a financial crisis. A single standard deviation increase in this ratio predicts a 3.6
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