Harvard Business Review

NOVEMBER 20, 2013

Political uncertainties and the absence of strong leadership contributed to social fragmentation. This instability meant that Japan was unable to iron out a national consensus on its reform plan, or implement reforms in the long run. Both countries’ uncertainties in political leadership are also alike.

Consensus 8

Consensus Class Uncertainty Long-term 8

Harvard Business Review

DECEMBER 9, 2011

Nevertheless, the markets have discounted every announcement and have continued to operate in a state of quasi-panic, as they move at a different speed than the political activities. But the ECB's most powerful weapon — intervening in the bond market — is still locked away. So is there hope after the latest EU summit?

Crisis 15

Crisis Consensus Banking Short-term 15

Harvard Business Review

MAY 4, 2012

Investors reward companies (such as Apple and Kimberly-Clark ) whose current performance or guidance for the future exceeds market expectations, and they punish companies (as they did Starbucks and Procter & Gamble ) whose performance or guidance fails to meet expectations.

CFO 11

CFO Metrics Price Depreciation 11

Harvard Business Review

JANUARY 17, 2012

The changes that India struggled to cope with, such as slowing domestic growth, increasing globalization, and an uncertain political and regulatory environment, describe global markets today. No one has a perfect model for managing this level of uncertainty. The very survival of many firms was at stake.

Globalization 14

Globalization Bottom-up Class Consensus 14

Harvard Business Review

APRIL 28, 2014

Financial economics adopted its own, narrower paradigm, in which the starting point was that the prices prevailing on financial markets were more or less correct (a belief that in those days went under the name Efficient Market Hypothesis, although the EMH is for the most part understood to mean something much narrower now).

Cooper 9

Cooper Finance Open-book Risk Management 9

Harvard Business Review

JULY 25, 2013

Is success as Fed chair simply a matter of being a brilliant economist, or are a consensus-driven leadership style and the ability to effectively manage the Board of Governors and the Federal Open Market Committee equally critical? Second, much has changed since 2004, including the Fed''s toolbox.

Management 8

Management Policies Analysis Reputation 8

Harvard Business Review

DECEMBER 21, 2011

In light of today's economic volatility and uncertainty every aspect of business is being re-examined for its value in creating and sustaining profitable growth. Early in my career I was fortunate to help a large manufacturer and distributor of construction and agricultural equipment change the way it went to market in North America.

Offshoring 14

Offshoring Fixed Costs Outsourcing Construction 14

Harvard Business Review

DECEMBER 17, 2014

Identifying this so-called “growth gap” is critical, because the bigger the gap, the more a company needs to look beyond its current offerings, markets, and business models to find growth opportunities. By reaching new customers in current markets? By stealing share from current competitors?

Innovation 9

Innovation Company Venture Capitalist Business Model 9

Harvard Business Review

NOVEMBER 1, 2013

For its implications for marketing, see this HBR article from Duncan Watts, one of Salganik’s co-investigators. Screenwriter William Goldman, of Princess Bride and Stepford Wives , once said of Hollywood, “Nobody knows anything” — which of course has pretty significant implications for decision making under uncertainty.

Download 10

Download Quality Influence Library 10

Harvard Business Review

FEBRUARY 25, 2014

That was the general consensus after one of my favorite HBS classes: an entrepreneurship case on a company called Tickle. While developing expertise is the most certain way to reduce entrepreneurial risk, many other strategies exist: Process — Using the right processes to deal with market uncertainty (e.g.

Career 8

Career Company IPO Christensen 8

Harvard Business Review

NOVEMBER 7, 2018

For the entrepreneur, the earliest money invested into a venture, which is raised when uncertainty is highest, is the most expensive. As the markets become more sophisticated, the price at which the ICO happens will reflect this risk and the price of the token will appreciate as the risk is mitigated over time.

Cost 8

Cost Decentralization Finance Entrepreneur 8

Harvard Business Review

MAY 6, 2014

Growth alternatives usually involve either launching new products or entering new markets, and these are activities where uncertainty is high. Usually, they end up reaching a consensus that they all consider makes sense. Managers do not treat growth-related data in the same way, and for good reason.

Disruptive Innovation 11

Disruptive Innovation Levitt Innovation Tools 11

Harvard Business Review

JULY 3, 2018

The officers reached a consensus for some words, but their interpretations were all over the place for others. Prediction markets, including PredictIt , allow you to put real money behind your forecasts. These individuals were used to reading intelligence reports. Other researchers have since had similar results.

Survey 8

Survey Hedge Analysis Benchmarking 8

Harvard Business Review

JANUARY 23, 2012

Trend lines, market sizing, and competitive benchmarks that served companies well during periods of gradual market evolution do little good in industries where new technologies create seismic shifts, demand is uncertain, and rivals emerge from left field. Conceiving smart options Turbulent environments are characterized by uncertainty.

Strategy 14

Strategy CEO Strategic Planning Consensus 14

Harvard Business Review

MAY 20, 2013

If you''re setting out to do so, you''ll need to confront uncertainty about how to get the most value from the investment and carefully consider what you''re setting out to achieve. Don''t expect that simply hiring a design partner will magically unlock new revenue streams and markets. Understand your capacity to act.

Govindarajan 8

Govindarajan Long-term Short-term Banking 8

Coaching Tip

SEPTEMBER 26, 2014

This updated chart of the total number of liberal democracies is from Robert Prechter''s book, The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior , which observed that bull markets "tend to lead to political freedom, while retrenchments lead to political repression.". EWI is the world''s largest market forecasting firm. Related articles.

Marketing 90

Marketing Development Trends Open-book 90

Thin Difference

APRIL 11, 2019

Most business executives want order, although chaos and uncertainty appear often. Producer: owned by producers of commodities or crafts who have joined forces to process and market their products. Publix Super Markets , more than 50 percent employee-owned. Hierarchical organizations exist to establish order.

Organization 62

Organization ESOP Cooper Reis 62

Harvard Business Review

OCTOBER 31, 2018

The same dynamic may now complicate Google’s plans to re-enter China’s search market. Behind the roiling divisions on specific issues, a consensus is emerging among markets, employees, and the public: Companies must fundamentally rethink their interactions with society.

CEO 10

CEO Politics Policies Survey 10

Harvard Business Review

NOVEMBER 18, 2016

He put it in simple, CEO-friendly terms: “I am accountable for enterprise risk,” he said, “and clearly there’s a strong scientific consensus that climate is a risk.” It’s hard to say what will happen to that agreement, but even uncertainty about the commitment of the United States likely will not sink it.

Supply Chain 8

Supply Chain Bottom-up Short-term Globalization 8